Saturday, April 18, 2020

The Most Definitive & Relevant Book on the Pandemic!


I finished listening to The Great Influenza by John M. Barry, narrated by Scott Brick on my Audible app.

https://www.audible.in/pd/B079VKD2NB?source_code=APITMANDROIDAPP0824160004

The most definitive book on 1918 Influenza, which the author, John M Barry started writing in 1997 to sensitize the nations about impending gloom which almost everybody in the know were aware. But 1997 H5N1 outbreak happened and the author and every virologist, epidemiologist, ... knew that it can happen anytime. The book was published in 2004, but whatever concerns he had raised about our,- including all the institutions in the world,- preparedness he had expected in 2004, ... it is certain, we are not yet there, even now! Very sad!

The following are the most critical aspects of RNA Virus pandemic.

Swarm: When the RNA Virus attacks a single cell, it replicates and erupts out with 1,000s of Quasi-Species RNA viruses, due to mutations, to attack the next cell. It all happens just within a single body from one cell to another probably in few seconds to minutes.

Passage: Due to the above, the virus may get more and more virulent and violent, exponentially, after passing through a few patients!

So when such a pandemic erupts, not only doctors are grappling with tremendous known unknowns and many more times unknown unknowns too.

Since this issue is so scary even for the virologists, epidemiologists, ... whole community of health professionals ... and can't be solved with the present collective intellect, knowledge, wisdom, technology ... of entire humanity

It can't be expressed. It becomes more difficult when people without any knowledge start offering HCQ or something else as the most potent weapon against the virus and some others gun for Antivaccine lobby!

But still, transparency coming out of courage of conviction is very much needed out of leadership to address the issue.

Our world leaders from different domains have to focus on their respective domains and come out with the solutions to address their own fields and simultaneously they need to engage the other leaders to address their own fields in the most synergistic manner. This need to be done out of utmost sincerity, integrity, honesty and altruism.

Thursday, April 9, 2020

How Anarchy Crushes the Order!


While the fools, idiots, stupid start dominating. They start indulging in persecuting & repressing the hapless, the poor and the wise. That starts creating the systemic anarchy, because whatever advancement has been achieved till date, is based on very nuanced & fine balance built in the system both within & without over long period of time painstakingly.

In summary, whatever progress, peace, prosperity which are built are on the basis of very fine & fragile systemic arrangement over a period through the wise & visionary leaders through systems & processes.

But systemic anarchy, viruses, natural forces, ... are so dominant & rapid they crush the development, advancement and progress of centuries within days and even within minutes. And the powerful idiots create conducive environment for Anarchy to set in,  unwittingly in their greed to grab wealth & absolute power.  In my humble view, this mechanism of nature was weakly & vaguely captured in Theory of Anarchy. While Chaos Theory tries to explain the causes, connections & correlations leading to anarchy.

All the great civilizations which were painstakingly built over a period of centuries were demolished almost overnight due to the single blow of Anarchy, our own Mohenjodaro Harappa civilization is no exception to the rule. Though our limited collective knowledge & wisdom hasn't figured out how till date.

When we hand over power to the stupid idiots just because we like them and think they safeguard us, we need not be afraid of God but let's be afraid of the looming Anarchy. The choice lies with us.